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SharpCastFootball intelligence

SharpCast Tips

SharpCast Tips

Every product on the model's card for the selected day in one place.

Today

SharpCast Cards · the model's player booking estimates per fixture, ranked by probability. These are model probability reads, not value bets: each pick is the player against the norm for their position, never against a bookmaker price, because player card prices are not wired here and the referee who drives card counts is not confirmed until close to kickoff. No price is shown. Players with thin data are left off rather than guessed. Tracked on its own separate SharpCast Cards record.

Algeria v Austria FIFA World Cup · 3:00
Z. Belaïd Algeria · Defender
Why the model rates this

Among the most booked defenders we rate at the 88th percentile, Belaïd faces Austria's attacking trio led by Kalajdzic; the model makes it 32 percent.

32.0% v 22.4% normEst. card chance
K. Laimer Austria · Defender
Why the model rates this

Laimer's 54 match sample shows a card rate well above the defender norm, tasked with containing Mahrez and Hadj-Moussa; 32 percent on the model.

32.0% v 22.4% normEst. card chance
K. Danso Austria · Defender
Why the model rates this

Ten points above the baseline for his position, Danso sits in the top tier of defenders for bookings across a 36 match record; the model rates his card at 32 percent.

32.0% v 22.4% normEst. card chance

Probabilistic framing only: the model states a probability, it does not promise an outcome. SharpCast Cards are model probability reads only, with no price shown: player card prices are not on the market here and the referee is not confirmed until close to kickoff. 18+ only. Please bet within your means. GambleAware. National Gambling Helpline 0808 8020 133. Self exclude at gamstop.co.uk.