SharpCastFootball intelligence

SharpCast Tips

SharpCast Tips

Every product on the model's card for the selected day in one place: SharpCast Picks ranked by expected value, four themed SharpCast ACCAs, SharpCast Builders, SharpCast Score and SharpCast Cards picks. One free pick per product; the full card is part of Pro.

SharpCast Cards · the model's player booking estimates per fixture, ranked by probability. These are model probability reads, not value bets: each pick is the player against the norm for their position, never against a bookmaker price, because player card prices are not wired here and the referee who drives card counts is not confirmed until close to kickoff. No price is shown. Players with thin data are left off rather than guessed. Tracked on its own separate SharpCast Cards record.

Bolivia v Algeria Friendlies · 1:00
D. Rodríguez Bolivia · Defender
Why the model rates this

Rated in the top 12 percent of defenders for bookings across a small sample; the model makes his card chance 22 percent against the baseline of 15.

22.3% v 15.2% normEst. card chance
E. Morales Bolivia · Defender
Why the model rates this

Built on an 18 match card sample well above the defender norm, putting his model estimate at 22 percent against attackers including R. Mahrez and A. Hadj-Moussa.

22.3% v 15.2% normEst. card chance
Z. Belaïd Algeria · Defender
Why the model rates this

Sits among the most booked defenders we rate over a 30 match span; the model rates his card at 22 percent.

22.3% v 15.2% normEst. card chance
1 more fixture with SharpCast Cards picks The model's player booking estimates for every covered fixture on the card. Go Pro →

Probabilistic framing only: the model states a probability, it does not promise an outcome. SharpCast Cards are model probability reads only, with no price shown: player card prices are not on the market here and the referee is not confirmed until close to kickoff. 18+ only. Please bet within your means. GambleAware. National Gambling Helpline 0808 8020 133. Self exclude at gamstop.co.uk.