SharpCastFootball intelligence

Today's free tip

All stakes shown at 1 unit = £10. Members set their own unit size in account settings.

Free this week Picked by the same engine Pro members use, locked before kickoff and kept on the record, wins and losses alike.
Friendlies · 17:30 kickoff Free pick Slight Locked 00:20
Costa Rica U23 badge
Costa Rica U23vCuba U23
Cuba U23 badge
SharpCast Pick Under 2.5 goals

Our model probability

51.3%

Indicative price

1.79

£10 (1 unit) returns

£17.90

Profit on the unit

+£7.90

Pro adds every market pick on this fixture, the Main Outcome and the full day's card.

Today's free products

Free SharpCast Builder3 legs
Mexico v South Africa Slight Locked 03:27
  • Mexico to win70.2% alone
  • Both teams to scoreCorrelated16.6% alone
  • Over 2.5 goalsCorrelated30.4% alone

Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals are correlated; the joint price already accounts for it.

Combined fair price9.839.4% joint
£10 (1 unit) returns£98.30
+£88.30 profit on the unit

Pro adds a Builder like this for every covered fixture.

Free SharpCast ScoreCorrect score
Mexico v South Africa Slight Locked 03:27
  • Correct score 1-03.9623.2% likely
Indicative price3.9623.2% likely
£10 (1 unit) returns£39.60
+£29.60 profit on the unit

Pro adds the model's correct score read on every covered fixture.

Free SharpCast ACCA3 legs
3 fixtures, one leg in each Slight Locked 03:27
  • Mexico to winMexico v South Africa1.4264.6% alone
  • Iran to winIran v Grenada1.4264.6% alone
  • Austria to winAustria v Guatemala1.5360.2% alone
Combined fair price3.0925.1% joint
£10 (1 unit) returns£30.90
+£20.90 profit on the unit

Pro adds four themed ACCAs built from the day's picks.

Indicative prices shown (1 over the model probability, 8% margin applied); we surface a real bookmaker price on Pro fixtures. The Build a Bet probability is the joint probability of all its legs landing, computed exactly from the model's scoreline distribution, so it accounts for the correlation between the legs. The accumulator probability is the product of its leg probabilities across separate fixtures. 18+ only. Please bet within your means. GambleAware.