World Cup results are excluded from the visible record. Original results remain stored; club and other international records keep their stated price basis.
THE SETTLED RECORD
Results and record
Historical forecasts meeting the stated timing and data checks, including wins and losses. World Cup selections are excluded.
Pre-match record
SharpCast Pick · Pre-match club forecasts · all markets
all time
Stored-price basis
These stored club forecasts were generated before kickoff and meet the backable criteria, across markets. Totals count forecast records, including separate initial and lineup runs for the same fixture and market; they do not count unique executed bets. Returns use stored bookmaker prices. Forecasts and prices could be refreshed before kickoff; the original public version and actual execution are not verified. World Cup selections are excluded.
Experimental model. Historical replay has not established profitable performance or justified a model upgrade. Unverified historical backtest files are not included.
1,810 of 2,074 historical club rows meet this timing and data scope. 264 link to forecasts generated at or after kickoff; 0 lack valid forecast or price data. Those rows are excluded from these figures; stored history and grades are retained.
Strike rate
61.4%
1111 of 1810 settled · backable picks, all markets
Level stake ROI
-2.6%
backable picks at stored prices, avg odds 1.61
CLV vs Pinnacle close
not yet measurable
Withheld: taken and closing price versions are unverified
Settled picks
1810
backable picks, all markets, all time
1111
Wins · 61.4%
699
Losses · 38.6%
0
Push / void
Cumulative units, level stakes-47.9u
1 unit = £10−£479 at £10 a unit
Calibrationavg gap 2.7 pts
Results by period
backable club picks and non-World Cup international Main Outcomes
These periods combine club picks at recorded bookmaker odds with international Main Outcomes at indicative fair prices. The combined return is illustrative; it is not a bookmaker-priced betting record.
All time, club and international
61.5%
strike · 1818 picks
-46.09u (-£460.90) · -2.5% ROI
Last 90 days
60.7%
strike · 1619 picks
-55.15u (-£551.50) · -3.4% ROI
Last 30 days
60.0%
strike · 867 picks
-42.45u (-£424.50) · -4.9% ROI
This week
Settled picks
P&L in units · 1 unit = £10
400
Settled
65.3%
Strike
+7.1u
P&L · +£71
Showing 1–25 of 400 recent forecast records
DateMatch & marketPickCompOddsResP&L
4 Novinitial forecast
PSV Eindhoven1·2Club Brugge KV
Total goals
Over 2.5Champions League1.37+0.37u
4 Novinitial forecast
Lens1·9Como
Total goals
Over 2.5Champions League1.63+0.63u
4 Novinitial forecast
Slavia Praha1·2Arsenal
Total goals
Over 2.5Champions League1.75+0.75u
4 Novlineup forecast
PSV Eindhoven1·2Club Brugge KV
Both teams to score
BTTS yesChampions League1.35+0.35u
4 Novinitial forecast
Lens1·9Como
Both teams to score
BTTS yesChampions League1.53+0.53u
4 Novlineup forecast
Lens1·9Como
Total goals
Over 2.5Champions League1.62+0.62u
4 Novlineup forecast
Lens1·9Como
Both teams to score
BTTS yesChampions League1.53+0.53u
4 Novlineup forecast
Borussia Dortmund2·1Real Betis
Total goals
Under 3.5Champions League1.76+0.76u
4 Novinitial forecast
Borussia Dortmund2·1Real Betis
Total goals
Under 3.5Champions League1.71+0.71u
4 Novinitial forecast
PSV Eindhoven1·2Club Brugge KV
Total goals
Over 3.5Champions League1.97-1.00u
4 Novinitial forecast
PSV Eindhoven1·2Club Brugge KV
Both teams to score
BTTS yesChampions League1.37+0.37u
4 Novlineup forecast
PSV Eindhoven1·2Club Brugge KV
Total goals
Over 3.5Champions League1.91-1.00u
4 Novlineup forecast
PSV Eindhoven1·2Club Brugge KV
Total goals
Over 2.5Champions League1.37+0.37u
4 Novlineup forecast
Slavia Praha1·2Arsenal
Total goals
Over 2.5Champions League1.74+0.74u
4 Novlineup forecast
FC Porto4·1Napoli
Both teams to score
BTTS yesChampions League1.75+0.75u
4 Novinitial forecast
Oxford United2·0Reading
Total goals
Under 3.5League One1.47+0.47u
4 Novlineup forecast
Wrexham2·0Middlesbrough
Both teams to score
BTTS yesChampionship1.62-1.00u
4 Novinitial forecast
Wrexham2·0Middlesbrough
Total goals
Over 2.5Championship1.63-1.00u
4 Novlineup forecast
Wrexham2·0Middlesbrough
Total goals
Over 2.5Championship1.63-1.00u
4 Novinitial forecast
Wrexham2·0Middlesbrough
Both teams to score
BTTS yesChampionship1.62-1.00u
4 Novlineup forecast
Cardiff3·3West Ham
Both teams to score
BTTS yesChampionship1.37+0.37u
4 Novlineup forecast
Wrexham2·0Middlesbrough
Match result
Middlesbrough to winChampionship1.72-1.00u
4 Novinitial forecast
Cardiff3·3West Ham
Both teams to score
BTTS yesChampionship1.37+0.37u
4 Novinitial forecast
Wrexham2·0Middlesbrough
Match result
Middlesbrough to winChampionship1.72-1.00u
4 Novlineup forecast
Fenerbahçe3·2Liverpool
Both teams to score
BTTS yesChampions League1.53+0.53u
PSV Eindhoven1·2Club Brugge KV+0.37u
4 Novinitial forecastOver 2.51.37Champions League
Lens1·9Como+0.63u
4 Novinitial forecastOver 2.51.63Champions League
Slavia Praha1·2Arsenal+0.75u
4 Novinitial forecastOver 2.51.75Champions League
PSV Eindhoven1·2Club Brugge KV+0.35u
4 Novlineup forecastBTTS yes1.35Champions League
Lens1·9Como+0.53u
4 Novinitial forecastBTTS yes1.53Champions League
Lens1·9Como+0.62u
4 Novlineup forecastOver 2.51.62Champions League
Lens1·9Como+0.53u
4 Novlineup forecastBTTS yes1.53Champions League
Borussia Dortmund2·1Real Betis+0.76u
4 Novlineup forecastUnder 3.51.76Champions League
Borussia Dortmund2·1Real Betis+0.71u
4 Novinitial forecastUnder 3.51.71Champions League
PSV Eindhoven1·2Club Brugge KV-1.00u
4 Novinitial forecastOver 3.51.97Champions League
PSV Eindhoven1·2Club Brugge KV+0.37u
4 Novinitial forecastBTTS yes1.37Champions League
PSV Eindhoven1·2Club Brugge KV-1.00u
4 Novlineup forecastOver 3.51.91Champions League
PSV Eindhoven1·2Club Brugge KV+0.37u
4 Novlineup forecastOver 2.51.37Champions League
Slavia Praha1·2Arsenal+0.74u
4 Novlineup forecastOver 2.51.74Champions League
FC Porto4·1Napoli+0.75u
4 Novlineup forecastBTTS yes1.75Champions League
Oxford United2·0Reading+0.47u
4 Novinitial forecastUnder 3.51.47League One
Wrexham2·0Middlesbrough-1.00u
4 Novlineup forecastBTTS yes1.62Championship
Wrexham2·0Middlesbrough-1.00u
4 Novinitial forecastOver 2.51.63Championship
Wrexham2·0Middlesbrough-1.00u
4 Novlineup forecastOver 2.51.63Championship
Wrexham2·0Middlesbrough-1.00u
4 Novinitial forecastBTTS yes1.62Championship
Cardiff3·3West Ham+0.37u
4 Novlineup forecastBTTS yes1.37Championship
Wrexham2·0Middlesbrough-1.00u
4 Novlineup forecastMiddlesbrough to win1.72Championship
Cardiff3·3West Ham+0.37u
4 Novinitial forecastBTTS yes1.37Championship
Wrexham2·0Middlesbrough-1.00u
4 Novinitial forecastMiddlesbrough to win1.72Championship
Fenerbahçe3·2Liverpool+0.53u
4 Novlineup forecastBTTS yes1.53Champions League
P&L is at level stake, 1 unit = £10, from stored prices; original publication and execution are not verified. Filtering is instant across the 400 recent forecast records in this table.
67.2%
strike · 262 picks
+10.37u (+£103.70) · +4.0% ROI
Max drawdown -89.35u (-£893.50) on level stakes.
Staking
level stakes are the published record · odds-banded is a comparison
Level · published
-2.6%
-47.91u (-£479.10) · 1.0u · £10 every pick
Odds-banded · comparison
-2.6%
-76.23u (-£762.30) · stake by odds
Odds-banded stake plan
Odds under 1.502.0u · £20
1.50 to 2.001.5u · £15
2.00 to 3.001.0u · £10
3.00 and up0.5u · £5
Historical product results
separate populations
Figures use stored historical prices; 1 unit = £10. These product histories have not had the same forecast-time validation as the club headline and do not establish pre-match model performance.
SharpCast Pick
Live record
Single outcome per fixture, the highest conviction pick.
61.4%
Strike
-2.6%
Level ROI
1.61
Avg odds
1111 of 1810 settled won
International Picks
Live record
International Main Outcomes, excluding World Cup. Results use the pre-kickoff snapshot and its indicative fair price; these are separate from the club record at recorded bookmaker odds.
87.5%
Strike
+22.7%
Level ROI
1.42
Avg odds
7 of 8 settled won
SharpCast Builder
Live record
Same game multi, correlation priced from the scoreline matrix.
25.2%
Strike
-4.7%
Level ROI
4.91
Avg odds
402 of 1598 settled won
SharpCast ACCA
No record yet
Cross fixture accumulator, higher return and higher variance.
No settled record yet.
SharpCast Score
Live record
Correct score from the scoreline matrix, long odds.
0.0%
Strike
-100.0%
Level ROI
7.50
Avg odds
0 of 1 settled won
SharpCast Cards
No record yet
Player and match card bets, pending the cards model.
No settled record yet.
SharpCast Score, every correct-score pick
its own record, long odds
Each correct-score pick and its result, settled on the final score.
SharpCast publishes probabilities, not certainties. Outcomes are expressed as a likelihood with a stated confidence based on the model and the de overrounded market consensus. Please gamble responsibly and within your means.