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SharpCastFootball intelligence

SharpCast Tips

SharpCast Tips

Every product on the model's card for the selected day in one place.

Today

SharpCast Cards · the model's player booking estimates per fixture, ranked by probability. These are model probability reads, not value bets: each pick is the player against the norm for their position, never against a bookmaker price, because player card prices are not wired here and the referee who drives card counts is not confirmed until close to kickoff. No price is shown. Players with thin data are left off rather than guessed. Tracked on its own separate SharpCast Cards record.

Colombia v Congo DR FIFA World Cup · 3:00
G. Kalulu Congo DR · Defender
Why the model rates this

Among the most booked defenders we rate at the 88th percentile; the model makes a card 32 percent.

32.0% v 22.4% normEst. card chance
A. Masuaku Congo DR · Defender
Why the model rates this

Small sample size underpins the booking rate here, so this leans on the defender norm of 22 percent; the model puts it 31.

30.9% v 22.4% normEst. card chance
D. Sánchez Colombia · Defender
Why the model rates this

Solid recent history across 46 matches at 78th percentile and tasked with containing B. Cipenga and G. Kakuta; the model rates a card 30 percent.

30.5% v 22.4% normEst. card chance
4 more fixtures with SharpCast Cards picks The model's player booking estimates for every covered fixture on the card. Go Pro →

Probabilistic framing only: the model states a probability, it does not promise an outcome. SharpCast Cards are model probability reads only, with no price shown: player card prices are not on the market here and the referee is not confirmed until close to kickoff. 18+ only. Please bet within your means. GambleAware. National Gambling Helpline 0808 8020 133. Self exclude at gamstop.co.uk.