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SharpCastFootball intelligence

SharpCast Tips

SharpCast Tips

Every product on the model's card for the selected day in one place: SharpCast Picks ranked by expected value, four themed SharpCast ACCAs, SharpCast Builders, SharpCast Score and SharpCast Cards picks. One free pick per product; the full card is part of Pro.

Today

SharpCast Cards · the model's player booking estimates per fixture, ranked by probability. These are model probability reads, not value bets: each pick is the player against the norm for their position, never against a bookmaker price, because player card prices are not wired here and the referee who drives card counts is not confirmed until close to kickoff. No price is shown. Players with thin data are left off rather than guessed. Tracked on its own separate SharpCast Cards record.

New Zealand v Egypt FIFA World Cup · 2:00
Mohamed Hany Egypt · Defender
Why the model rates this

Mohamed Hany ranks in the 66th percentile among defenders for booking rate, putting the model at 29 percent.

28.8% v 22.4% normEst. card chance
Ahmed Fatouh Egypt · Defender
Why the model rates this

Ahmed Fatouh sits on a smaller 30 match sample than peers but still rates above the defender norm; the model makes it 29 percent.

28.7% v 22.4% normEst. card chance
Yasser Ibrahim Egypt · Defender
Why the model rates this

Yasser Ibrahim's card rating trails his fellow defenders slightly; the model estimates 28 percent against the baseline of 22.

28.2% v 22.4% normEst. card chance
2 more fixtures with SharpCast Cards picks The model's player booking estimates for every covered fixture on the card. Go Pro →

Probabilistic framing only: the model states a probability, it does not promise an outcome. SharpCast Cards are model probability reads only, with no price shown: player card prices are not on the market here and the referee is not confirmed until close to kickoff. 18+ only. Please bet within your means. GambleAware. National Gambling Helpline 0808 8020 133. Self exclude at gamstop.co.uk.