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SharpCastFootball intelligence

SharpCast Tips

SharpCast Tips

Every product on the model's card for the selected day in one place.

Today

SharpCast Cards · the model's player booking estimates per fixture, ranked by probability. These are model probability reads, not value bets: each pick is the player against the norm for their position, never against a bookmaker price, because player card prices are not wired here and the referee who drives card counts is not confirmed until close to kickoff. No price is shown. Players with thin data are left off rather than guessed. Tracked on its own separate SharpCast Cards record.

Mexico v South Korea FIFA World Cup · 2:00
J. Gallardo Mexico · Defender
Why the model rates this

Gallardo ranks in the 88th percentile among defenders for bookings across 43 matches; the model sets his card chance at 32 percent.

32.0% v 22.4% normEst. card chance
M. Chávez Mexico · Defender
Why the model rates this

Ten percentage points above the defender baseline and tested against Son Heung-Min and Lee Dong-Gyeong; 32 percent card probability.

32.0% v 22.4% normEst. card chance
Lee Gi-Hyuk South Korea · Defender
Why the model rates this

Among the most booked defenders we rate from a 47 match sample, facing Quiñones and Vega; the model makes it 32 percent.

32.0% v 22.4% normEst. card chance
2 more fixtures with SharpCast Cards picks The model's player booking estimates for every covered fixture on the card. Go Pro →

Probabilistic framing only: the model states a probability, it does not promise an outcome. SharpCast Cards are model probability reads only, with no price shown: player card prices are not on the market here and the referee is not confirmed until close to kickoff. 18+ only. Please bet within your means. GambleAware. National Gambling Helpline 0808 8020 133. Self exclude at gamstop.co.uk.