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SharpCastFootball intelligence

SharpCast Tips

SharpCast Tips

Every product on the model's card for the selected day in one place.

Today

SharpCast Cards · the model's player booking estimates per fixture, ranked by probability. These are model probability reads, not value bets: each pick is the player against the norm for their position, never against a bookmaker price, because player card prices are not wired here and the referee who drives card counts is not confirmed until close to kickoff. No price is shown. Players with thin data are left off rather than guessed. Tracked on its own separate SharpCast Cards record.

Czechia v South Africa FIFA World Cup · 17:00
K. Mudau South Africa · Defender
Why the model rates this

Mudau sits in the 88th percentile for bookings among defenders and draws Darida and Provod; the model makes his card chance 32 percent.

32.0% v 22.4% normEst. card chance
O. Makhanya South Africa · Defender
Why the model rates this

Makhanya's 53 match sample shows he books at 1.53 times the defender rate; the model estimates 32 percent for a card.

32.0% v 22.4% normEst. card chance
S. Kabini South Africa · Defender
Why the model rates this

Well above the typical defender baseline at 1.53 times the position norm, Kabini faces Darida and Coufal; the model puts it at 32 percent.

32.0% v 22.4% normEst. card chance
2 more fixtures with SharpCast Cards picks The model's player booking estimates for every covered fixture on the card. Go Pro →

Probabilistic framing only: the model states a probability, it does not promise an outcome. SharpCast Cards are model probability reads only, with no price shown: player card prices are not on the market here and the referee is not confirmed until close to kickoff. 18+ only. Please bet within your means. GambleAware. National Gambling Helpline 0808 8020 133. Self exclude at gamstop.co.uk.