SharpCast Tips
Every product on the model's card for the selected day in one place: SharpCast Picks ranked by expected value, four themed SharpCast ACCAs, SharpCast Builders, SharpCast Score and SharpCast Cards picks. One free pick per product; the full card is part of Pro.
SharpCast Cards · the model's player booking estimates per fixture, ranked by probability. These are model probability reads, not value bets: each pick is the player against the norm for their position, never against a bookmaker price, because player card prices are not wired here and the referee who drives card counts is not confirmed until close to kickoff. No price is shown. Players with thin data are left off rather than guessed. Tracked on its own separate SharpCast Cards record.
Tagliafico sits in the 88th percentile for cards among defenders and faces Mahrez and Hadj-Moussa; the model rates his card chance at 32 percent.
Ten points above the defender baseline with a 1.53 card rate across 26 matches; the model makes it 32 percent.
The largest sample among these defenders at 32 matches supports his 88th percentile booking rate; the model puts it at 32 percent.
Probabilistic framing only: the model states a probability, it does not promise an outcome. SharpCast Cards are model probability reads only, with no price shown: player card prices are not on the market here and the referee is not confirmed until close to kickoff. 18+ only. Please bet within your means. GambleAware. National Gambling Helpline 0808 8020 133. Self exclude at gamstop.co.uk.
