SharpCastFootball intelligence

SharpCast Tips

SharpCast Tips

Every product on the model's card for the selected day in one place: SharpCast Picks ranked by expected value, four themed SharpCast ACCAs, SharpCast Builders, SharpCast Score and SharpCast Cards picks. One free pick per product; the full card is part of Pro.

Today

SharpCast Cards · the model's player booking estimates per fixture, ranked by probability. These are model probability reads, not value bets: each pick is the player against the norm for their position, never against a bookmaker price, because player card prices are not wired here and the referee who drives card counts is not confirmed until close to kickoff. No price is shown. Players with thin data are left off rather than guessed. Tracked on its own separate SharpCast Cards record.

USA v Paraguay FIFA World Cup · 2:00
J. Cáceres Paraguay · Defender
Why the model rates this

Cáceres ranks in the 84th percentile among defenders for bookings and sits 9 points above the position baseline; the model makes it 31 percent.

31.4% v 22.4% normEst. card chance
G. Gómez Paraguay · Defender
Why the model rates this

With a larger sample of 52 matches, Gómez sits 8 points above the defender norm; the model rates his card chance at 30 percent.

29.9% v 22.4% normEst. card chance
M. McKenzie USA · Defender
Why the model rates this

McKenzie faces Almirón and Enciso in attack while sitting modestly above the baseline; the model puts it at 29 percent.

29.5% v 22.4% normEst. card chance
2 more fixtures with SharpCast Cards picks The model's player booking estimates for every covered fixture on the card. Go Pro →

Probabilistic framing only: the model states a probability, it does not promise an outcome. SharpCast Cards are model probability reads only, with no price shown: player card prices are not on the market here and the referee is not confirmed until close to kickoff. 18+ only. Please bet within your means. GambleAware. National Gambling Helpline 0808 8020 133. Self exclude at gamstop.co.uk.