SharpCastFootball intelligence

SharpCast Tips

SharpCast Tips

Every product on the model's card for the selected day in one place: SharpCast Picks ranked by expected value, four themed SharpCast ACCAs, SharpCast Builders, SharpCast Score and SharpCast Cards picks. One free pick per product; the full card is part of Pro.

Today

SharpCast Cards · the model's player booking estimates per fixture, ranked by probability. These are model probability reads, not value bets: each pick is the player against the norm for their position, never against a bookmaker price, because player card prices are not wired here and the referee who drives card counts is not confirmed until close to kickoff. No price is shown. Players with thin data are left off rather than guessed. Tracked on its own separate SharpCast Cards record.

South Korea v Czechia FIFA World Cup · 3:00
Lee Gi-Hyuk South Korea · Defender
Why the model rates this

Lee Gi-Hyuk sits in the 88th percentile among defenders for bookings across 47 matches; the model rates his card chance at 32 percent.

32.0% v 22.4% normEst. card chance
L. Krejcí Czechia · Defender
Why the model rates this

Krejci's sample leans on just 2 matches, so this read relies on the defender baseline of 22 percent; the model makes it 29.

28.9% v 22.4% normEst. card chance
S. Chaloupek Czechia · Defender
Why the model rates this

Chaloupek sits 7 points above the defender norm with a full 48 match sample and faces Son Heung-Min; the model rates it 29 percent.

28.9% v 22.4% normEst. card chance
R. Hranác Czechia · Defender
Why the model rates this

Hraenac runs 8 points above the position baseline across 31 matches of record; the model puts his card at 28 percent.

28.1% v 19.8% normEst. card chance
1 more fixture with SharpCast Cards picks The model's player booking estimates for every covered fixture on the card. Go Pro →

Probabilistic framing only: the model states a probability, it does not promise an outcome. SharpCast Cards are model probability reads only, with no price shown: player card prices are not on the market here and the referee is not confirmed until close to kickoff. 18+ only. Please bet within your means. GambleAware. National Gambling Helpline 0808 8020 133. Self exclude at gamstop.co.uk.