SharpCastFootball intelligence

SharpCast Tips

SharpCast Tips

Every product on the model's card for the selected day in one place: SharpCast Picks ranked by expected value, four themed SharpCast ACCAs, SharpCast Builders, SharpCast Score and SharpCast Cards picks. One free pick per product; the full card is part of Pro.

SharpCast Cards · the model's player booking estimates per fixture, ranked by probability. These are model probability reads, not value bets: each pick is the player against the norm for their position, never against a bookmaker price, because player card prices are not wired here and the referee who drives card counts is not confirmed until close to kickoff. No price is shown. Players with thin data are left off rather than guessed. Tracked on its own separate SharpCast Cards record.

Bolivia v Algeria Friendlies · 1:00
D. Rodríguez Bolivia · Defender
Why the model rates this

Ranked in the top tenth among defenders for bookings and facing Mahrez and Hadj-Moussa; the model rates his card at 22 percent, though this relies more on the position norm than match history.

22.3% v 15.2% normEst. card chance
E. Morales Bolivia · Defender
Why the model rates this

Eighteen matches of card-rating data put him in the 88th percentile of defenders; the model makes his card chance 22 percent.

22.3% v 15.2% normEst. card chance
Z. Belaïd Algeria · Defender
Why the model rates this

Largest sample in the set at 30 matches and tasked with handling Vaca and Paniagua; the model puts his card probability at 22 percent.

22.3% v 15.2% normEst. card chance
1 more fixture with SharpCast Cards picks The model's player booking estimates for every covered fixture on the card. Go Pro →

Probabilistic framing only: the model states a probability, it does not promise an outcome. SharpCast Cards are model probability reads only, with no price shown: player card prices are not on the market here and the referee is not confirmed until close to kickoff. 18+ only. Please bet within your means. GambleAware. National Gambling Helpline 0808 8020 133. Self exclude at gamstop.co.uk.