Ajax versus AZ Alkmaar match analysis
Ajax
DLWWW
Full time
1 – 0
AZ AlkmaarLWDWL
Filed 19:50 UTC · Forecast before kickoff
Lineups confirmed Settled · SharpCast Pick Lost
Total goals
Over 3.5
53%our probabilityThe model rates Over 3.5 at 53 percent, against the market's 48 percent.
- Conviction
- Slight
- Model fair price
- 1.89
- Recorded bookmaker odds
- 2.07
- Suggested stake
- No stake (model line)
Forecast generated: .
Stored bookmaker price. This may differ from the current price; the original publication version is not verified.
This call rests on Dixon Coles strength, time decayed form, expected goals and the de overrounded market consensus, across 10,000 simulated matches. The linked forecast was generated before kickoff.