Arouca versus Nacional match analysis
Arouca
DLDWW
Full time
1 – 0
NacionalLLLLW
Filed 15:21 UTC · Forecast before kickoff
Lineups confirmed Settled · SharpCast Pick Won
Match result
Arouca to win
57%our probabilityThe model rates Arouca to win at 57 percent, against the market's 58 percent.
- Conviction
- Slight
- Model fair price
- 1.77
- Recorded bookmaker odds
- 1.71
- Suggested stake
- No stake (model line)
Forecast generated: .
Stored bookmaker price. This may differ from the current price; the original publication version is not verified.
This call rests on Dixon Coles strength, time decayed form, expected goals and the de overrounded market consensus, across 10,000 simulated matches. The linked forecast was generated before kickoff.