QPR versus Derby match analysis
QPR
LDDDD
Full time
4 – 1
DerbyLLLDD
Filed 18:40 UTC · Forecast before kickoff
Lineups confirmed Settled · SharpCast Pick Won
Match result
QPR to win
55%our probabilityThe model rates QPR to win at 55 percent, against the market's 58 percent.
- Conviction
- Slight
- Model fair price
- 1.82
- Recorded bookmaker odds
- 1.72
- Suggested stake
- No stake (model line)
Forecast generated: .
Stored bookmaker price. This may differ from the current price; the original publication version is not verified.
This call rests on Dixon Coles strength, time decayed form, expected goals and the de overrounded market consensus, across 10,000 simulated matches. The linked forecast was generated before kickoff.