Spain versus Iraq, International Friendly
Main Outcome · settledSpain to win
Match result
ConvictionSpain to win
Match result
SharpCast BuilderPro
Result markets
The model puts Spain draw no bet at 96 percent, too short to carry betting value. This is the model's line, not a recommended bet.
The model rates Either team to win at 81%. The bookmakers have not priced this market here, so the fair price shown is the model’s own and the read stands alone. It falls out of an expected 3.19 goals for the home side and 0.40 for the away (3.59 total) across the simulated scorelines.
mainThe model rates Spain to win at 78%. The bookmakers have not priced this market here, so the fair price shown is the model’s own and the read stands alone. It falls out of an expected 3.19 goals for the home side and 0.40 for the away (3.59 total) across the simulated scorelines.
The model rates Spain -1 at 62%. The bookmakers have not priced this market here, so the fair price shown is the model’s own and the read stands alone. It falls out of an expected 3.19 goals for the home side and 0.40 for the away (3.59 total) across the simulated scorelines.
Goals markets
The model rates BTTS no at 66%. The bookmakers have not priced this market here, so the fair price shown is the model’s own and the read stands alone. It falls out of an expected 3.19 goals for the home side and 0.40 for the away (3.59 total) across the simulated scorelines.
The model rates Over 2.5 at 62%. The bookmakers have not priced this market here, so the fair price shown is the model’s own and the read stands alone. It falls out of an expected 3.19 goals for the home side and 0.40 for the away (3.59 total) across the simulated scorelines.
Combined markets
The model rates Spain to win and BTTS no at 57%. The bookmakers have not priced this market here, so the fair price shown is the model’s own and the read stands alone. It falls out of an expected 3.19 goals for the home side and 0.40 for the away (3.59 total) across the simulated scorelines.
Each settled row is tinted and badged by whether the filed pick landed. The board is the locked record and does not move.
This call rests on Dixon Coles strength, time decayed form, expected goals and the de overrounded market consensus, across 10,000 simulated matches. It was locked before kickoff and is kept on this site.