Albania versus Luxembourg, International Friendly
Main Outcome · settledBTTS no
Both teams to score
ConvictionBTTS no
Both teams to score
SharpCast BuilderPro
Result markets
The model rates Albania or draw at 91%. The bookmakers have not priced this market here, so the fair price shown is the model’s own and the read stands alone. It falls out of an expected 1.49 goals for the home side and 0.40 for the away (1.89 total) across the simulated scorelines.
The model rates Albania +1 at 91%. The bookmakers have not priced this market here, so the fair price shown is the model’s own and the read stands alone. It falls out of an expected 1.49 goals for the home side and 0.40 for the away (1.89 total) across the simulated scorelines.
The model rates Albania draw no bet at 86%. The bookmakers have not priced this market here, so the fair price shown is the model’s own and the read stands alone. It falls out of an expected 1.49 goals for the home side and 0.40 for the away (1.89 total) across the simulated scorelines.
The model rates Albania to win at 57%. The bookmakers have not priced this market here, so the fair price shown is the model’s own and the read stands alone. It falls out of an expected 1.49 goals for the home side and 0.40 for the away (1.89 total) across the simulated scorelines.
Goals markets
mainThe model rates BTTS no at 73%. The bookmakers have not priced this market here, so the fair price shown is the model’s own and the read stands alone. It falls out of an expected 1.49 goals for the home side and 0.40 for the away (1.89 total) across the simulated scorelines.
The model rates Under 2.5 at 71%. The bookmakers have not priced this market here, so the fair price shown is the model’s own and the read stands alone. It falls out of an expected 1.49 goals for the home side and 0.40 for the away (1.89 total) across the simulated scorelines.
Combined markets
The model leans Albania to win and BTTS no at 46 percent, close to a coin flip. This is the model's line, not a recommended bet.
Each settled row is tinted and badged by whether the filed pick landed. The board is the locked record and does not move.
This call rests on Dixon Coles strength, time decayed form, expected goals and the de overrounded market consensus, across 10,000 simulated matches. It was locked before kickoff and is kept on this site.