Ecuador versus Guatemala, International Friendly
Main Outcome · settledBTTS no
Both teams to score
ConvictionBTTS no
Both teams to score
SharpCast BuilderPro
Result markets
The model rates Ecuador draw no bet at 91%. The bookmakers have not priced this market here, so the fair price shown is the model’s own and the read stands alone. It falls out of an expected 2.05 goals for the home side and 0.40 for the away (2.45 total) across the simulated scorelines.
The model rates Either team to win at 73%. The bookmakers have not priced this market here, so the fair price shown is the model’s own and the read stands alone. It falls out of an expected 2.05 goals for the home side and 0.40 for the away (2.45 total) across the simulated scorelines.
The model rates Ecuador to win at 66%. The bookmakers have not priced this market here, so the fair price shown is the model’s own and the read stands alone. It falls out of an expected 2.05 goals for the home side and 0.40 for the away (2.45 total) across the simulated scorelines.
The model rates Guatemala +2 at 56%. The bookmakers have not priced this market here, so the fair price shown is the model’s own and the read stands alone. It falls out of an expected 2.05 goals for the home side and 0.40 for the away (2.45 total) across the simulated scorelines.
Goals markets
mainThe model rates BTTS no at 70%. The bookmakers have not priced this market here, so the fair price shown is the model’s own and the read stands alone. It falls out of an expected 2.05 goals for the home side and 0.40 for the away (2.45 total) across the simulated scorelines.
The model rates Under 2.5 at 58%. The bookmakers have not priced this market here, so the fair price shown is the model’s own and the read stands alone. It falls out of an expected 2.05 goals for the home side and 0.40 for the away (2.45 total) across the simulated scorelines.
Combined markets
The model leans Ecuador to win and BTTS no at 51 percent, close to a coin flip. This is the model's line, not a recommended bet.
Each settled row is tinted and badged by whether the filed pick landed. The board is the locked record and does not move.
This call rests on Dixon Coles strength, time decayed form, expected goals and the de overrounded market consensus, across 10,000 simulated matches. It was locked before kickoff and is kept on this site.