Portugal v Nigeria · SharpCast

International Friendly · Estádio Dr. Magalhães PessoaSettled

Portugal

LWDWW

2·1

full time

Nigeria

WDWWD

2026-06-10 19:45 UTC

Main Outcome · settled

Portugal to win

Match result

Conviction

Modest

56/100

3 of 5 strength

56%

our probability

WON

result

Portugal to win

Match result

56%

our probability

WON

result

Conviction

Modest

56/100

3 of 5 strength

Portugal is expected to create nearly five times as many chances as Nigeria, so a Portugal win rates at 76 percent.

model reasoning · AI reviewed

Result markets

Goals markets

Combined markets

SharpCast Builder

Same game multi for this fixture · the legs, the correlation aware joint chance and the fair price are part of Pro.Go Pro

Each settled row is tinted and badged by whether the filed pick landed. The board is the locked record and does not move.

This call rests on Dixon Coles strength, time decayed form, expected goals and the de overrounded market consensus, across 10,000 simulated matches. It was locked before kickoff and is kept on this site.