Iraq versus Norway, World Cup
- Neutral venue
- Lineups not yet confirmed
- Motivation tier active
Main OutcomeNorway to win
Match result
ConvictionNorway to win
Match result
Norway is expected to create far more chances than Iraq, who barely expects to score; a Norway win comes out at 77 percent.
model reasoning · AI reviewed
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Result markets
The model puts Norway +2 at 99 percent, too short to carry betting value. This is the model's line, not a recommended bet.
Iraq creates little and Norway much more, so Norway draw no bet is 92 percent.
Norway dominates the chances and Iraq barely scores, so the match avoids a draw at 83 percent.
mainNorway is expected to create far more chances than Iraq, who barely expects to score; a Norway win comes out at 77 percent.
Goals markets
Norway should create enough chances to push the match over 1.5 goals even if Iraq stays quiet; over 1.5 rates at 73 percent.
Iraq is unlikely to score against Norway's defence, so both teams to score rates at 69 percent for no.
Combined markets
The model leans Norway to win and BTTS no at 51 percent, close to a coin flip. This is the model's line, not a recommended bet.
SharpCast Builder
The board is the filed record; the assumptions panel in the scoreline model below only adjusts the distribution view, never these picks.
This call rests on Dixon Coles strength, time decayed form, expected goals and the de overrounded market consensus, across 10,000 simulated matches.