Portugal versus Congo DR, World Cup
- Neutral venue
- Lineups not yet confirmed
- Motivation tier active
Main OutcomeBTTS no
Both teams to score
ConvictionBTTS no
Both teams to score
Congo DR is expected to create far fewer chances than Portugal; both teams to not score rates at 69 percent.
model reasoning · AI reviewed
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Result markets
Portugal's expected goal advantage is overwhelming; Portugal draw no bet rates at 91 percent.
Portugal expects around 2.08 goals and Congo DR 0.4; a decisive result is rated at 73 percent.
Portugal expects to create over five times as many chances as Congo DR, so a Portugal win rates at 67 percent.
Congo DR starts with a two goal head start but Portugal's goal expectation runs nearly five times higher; the handicap rates at 56 percent.
Goals markets
mainCongo DR is expected to create far fewer chances than Portugal; both teams to not score rates at 69 percent.
Portugal should dominate but Congo DR barely threatens to score; under 2.5 goals comes out at 58 percent.
Combined markets
The model leans Portugal to win and BTTS no at 52 percent, close to a coin flip. This is the model's line, not a recommended bet.
The board is the filed record; the assumptions panel in the scoreline model below only adjusts the distribution view, never these picks.
This call rests on Dixon Coles strength, time decayed form, expected goals and the de overrounded market consensus, across 10,000 simulated matches.