USA versus Germany, International Friendly
Main Outcome · settledOver 2.5
Total goals
ConvictionOver 2.5
Total goals
SharpCast BuilderPro
Result markets
The model rates Germany +2 at 88%. The bookmakers have not priced this market here, so the fair price shown is the model’s own and the read stands alone. It falls out of an expected 1.39 goals for the home side and 2.13 for the away (3.53 total) across the simulated scorelines.
The model rates Germany or draw at 75%. The bookmakers have not priced this market here, so the fair price shown is the model’s own and the read stands alone. It falls out of an expected 1.39 goals for the home side and 2.13 for the away (3.53 total) across the simulated scorelines.
The model rates Germany draw no bet at 66%. The bookmakers have not priced this market here, so the fair price shown is the model’s own and the read stands alone. It falls out of an expected 1.39 goals for the home side and 2.13 for the away (3.53 total) across the simulated scorelines.
The model leans Germany to win at 48 percent, close to a coin flip. This is the model's line, not a recommended bet.
Goals markets
mainThe model rates Over 2.5 at 63%. The bookmakers have not priced this market here, so the fair price shown is the model’s own and the read stands alone. It falls out of an expected 1.39 goals for the home side and 2.13 for the away (3.53 total) across the simulated scorelines.
The model rates BTTS yes at 62%. The bookmakers have not priced this market here, so the fair price shown is the model’s own and the read stands alone. It falls out of an expected 1.39 goals for the home side and 2.13 for the away (3.53 total) across the simulated scorelines.
Combined markets
The model leans Germany to win and BTTS yes at 26 percent, close to a coin flip. This is the model's line, not a recommended bet.
Each settled row is tinted and badged by whether the filed pick landed. The board is the locked record and does not move.
This call rests on Dixon Coles strength, time decayed form, expected goals and the de overrounded market consensus, across 10,000 simulated matches. It was locked before kickoff and is kept on this site.