Uzbekistan versus Colombia, World Cup
- Neutral venue
- Lineups not yet confirmed
- Motivation tier active
Main OutcomeBTTS no
Both teams to score
ConvictionBTTS no
Both teams to score
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Result markets
The model rates Colombia or draw at 92%. The bookmakers have not priced this market here, so the fair price shown is the model’s own and the read stands alone. It falls out of an expected 0.48 goals for the home side and 2.04 for the away (2.52 total) across the simulated scorelines.
The model rates Colombia +1 at 92%. The bookmakers have not priced this market here, so the fair price shown is the model’s own and the read stands alone. It falls out of an expected 0.48 goals for the home side and 2.04 for the away (2.52 total) across the simulated scorelines.
The model rates Colombia draw no bet at 89%. The bookmakers have not priced this market here, so the fair price shown is the model’s own and the read stands alone. It falls out of an expected 0.48 goals for the home side and 2.04 for the away (2.52 total) across the simulated scorelines.
The model rates Colombia to win at 64%. The bookmakers have not priced this market here, so the fair price shown is the model’s own and the read stands alone. It falls out of an expected 0.48 goals for the home side and 2.04 for the away (2.52 total) across the simulated scorelines.
Goals markets
mainThe model rates BTTS no at 66%. The bookmakers have not priced this market here, so the fair price shown is the model’s own and the read stands alone. It falls out of an expected 0.48 goals for the home side and 2.04 for the away (2.52 total) across the simulated scorelines.
The model rates Under 2.5 at 57%. The bookmakers have not priced this market here, so the fair price shown is the model’s own and the read stands alone. It falls out of an expected 0.48 goals for the home side and 2.04 for the away (2.52 total) across the simulated scorelines.
Combined markets
The model leans Colombia to win and BTTS no at 47 percent, close to a coin flip. This is the model's line, not a recommended bet.
The board is the filed record; the assumptions panel in the scoreline model below only adjusts the distribution view, never these picks.
This call rests on Dixon Coles strength, time decayed form, expected goals and the de overrounded market consensus, across 10,000 simulated matches.