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World Cup Record Competitions

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SharpCast

Probabilistic football analysis. Every pick is committed before kickoff and the full record is tracked on this site, wins and losses alike.

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SharpCast publishes probabilities, not certainties. Outcomes are expressed as a likelihood with a stated confidence based on the model and the de overrounded market consensus. Please gamble responsibly and within your means.

Mexico v South Africa · SharpCast

Launch pricing livefrom £4.99

Pro from £4.99

SharpCastFootball intelligence

All fixturesEvery match, a pick on every market Today's tipsThe day in picks, builders, scores and cards Free tipsThis week for free, from the same engine

World Cup Record Competitions

About SharpCastWhat we are and how we work Our modelThe engine behind every pick GlossaryEvery term in plain English

Mexico versus South Africa, World Cup

World Cup · Group Stage - 1 · Estadio AztecaNot started

Mexico

DDWWW

Thu 11 Jun

kickoff

South Africa

LDLDD

20:00 BST· 19:00 UTC

Neutral venue
Lineups not yet confirmed
Motivation tier active

Our View
All Markets
Goals model
Strength & context
Cards & bookings
SharpCast Cards

Main Outcome

BTTS no

Both teams to score

Conviction

Strong

83/100

5 of 5 strength

83%

our probability

BTTS no

Both teams to score

83%

our probability

Conviction

Strong

83/100

5 of 5 strength

South Africa is expected to create very few chances, so both teams to score is just 14 percent; the model makes no BTTS at 86 percent.

model reasoning · AI reviewed

Who wins? · community call

cast your call to see the community split

MarketOur selectionProbFair · bookTier

Result markets

Goals markets

Combined markets

SharpCast Builder

Same game multi for this fixture · the legs, the correlation aware joint chance and the fair price are part of Pro.Go Pro

The board is the filed record; the assumptions panel in the scoreline model below only adjusts the distribution view, never these picks.

This call rests on Dixon Coles strength, time decayed form, expected goals and the de overrounded market consensus, across 10,000 simulated matches.

SharpCast

Probabilistic football analysis. Every pick is committed before kickoff and the full record is tracked on this site, wins and losses alike.

Product

Fixtures
Today's tips

Method

Our model
Glossary
Accuracy
About

Leagues

Premier League
La Liga
Serie A
Bundesliga
Ligue 1
Champions League
World Cup

Odds

18 plus onlyGambleAware.orgNational Gambling Helpline 0808 8020 133Self exclude at GamStop

Terms of Use Privacy Policy Cookie Policy

SharpCast publishes probabilities, not certainties. Outcomes are expressed as a likelihood with a stated confidence based on the model and the de overrounded market consensus. Please gamble responsibly and within your means.