Championship
Derby v Bolton
Pride Park Stadium
Match probabilities
AnalysisScore model, before market adjustment. These are estimates, not recommendations.
Forecast time: 6 Nov, 19:10 UK time. Core, market and final estimates are not supplied as a complete comparable distribution.
The available evidence
Squad news and human opinion are incomplete. Read the individual evidence tabs before drawing a conclusion.
Squad availability
Verified injury and competition-specific suspension coverage is not available. An empty feed does not mean every player is available.
Stored context
Observation times and current status are not verified.
- Starting XIs not yet released. The model re-runs within 60 to 90 minutes of kickoff once team news lands; the current prediction uses last known team strength.lineup
Lineup information
Starting lineups are not available. No publication time is assumed.
Derby
5 supplied matches · latest first
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-03 | Norwich | Home | 0–4 | L |
| 2026-10-31 | Millwall | Away | 1–4 | L |
| 2026-10-24 | Sheffield Utd | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 2026-10-17 | Stoke | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 2026-10-14 | QPR | Away | 1–4 | L |
Bolton
5 supplied matches · latest first
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-03 | Charlton | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 2026-10-31 | Bristol | Home | 2–3 | L |
| 2026-10-23 | Middlesbrough | Home | 1–5 | L |
| 2026-10-17 | Southampton | Away | 0–0 | D |
| 2026-10-13 | Wolves | Away | 3–1 | W |
About these comparisons
These are the matches supplied with this forecast. They are not a complete season or an opponent-adjusted performance measure.
Provider xG, shots, minutes and their observation times are not available as a verified comparison here.
Market analysis
Model estimates only. Stored prices are historical observations; current availability, quote age and execution are unverified. These rows are not official picks.
| Market | Outcome | Model | Market reference | Stored odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total goals | Over 1.5 | 83.7% | Unavailable | 1.25 |
| Asian handicap | Bolton +2 | 90.6% | Unavailable | Unavailable |
| Match result | Derby to win | 37.1% | Unavailable | Unavailable |
| Both teams to score | BTTS yes | 62.1% | Unavailable | 1.60 |
| Correct score | 2-1 | 6.0% | Unavailable | Unavailable |
| Result + BTTS | Derby to win and BTTS yes | 13.7% | Unavailable | Unavailable |
Fan and pundit views
A verified, timestamped consensus is not available for this fixture.
No pundit predictions or fan percentages have been inserted into the forecast. Human views will be shown separately from model probabilities when source, timing and sample can be established.
A member poll is opinion, not a calibrated probability or proof of betting value.
Analysis and decision history
- Displayed analysis
- 6 Nov, 19:10 UK time
- Original decision
- No confirmed pre-match decision
An independently verified sequence of source changes and earlier analysis snapshots is not available. A latest forecast must not be treated as an original pick.